COVES: One Year In

by Bryan

Well, we’re one year in on our Twitter-based virtual trading of our COVES and Synth COVES strategies. Our six-month check-in showed a lot of promise, but how did the strategy fare during the turbulence since April? More importantly, how do we make COVES, you know,
investable given its heavy reliance on VIX positioning?

Read More
Bryan Williams
Fixing Retail Investing, Part IV: When Life Gives You Lemons You Paint That Shit Gold

by Bryan

The investment landscape for the average retail investor is riddled with Catch-22s: a bull market will provide excess capital to invest, but it’s likely closer to the peak than the trough, while a bear market is the perfect time to buy cheap, but that capital is tied up in making ends meet. There are products that buck this trend, but most retail investors don’t have the accreditation to access them. Income inequality is widening between the haves and have-nots, discouraging the have-nots from ever entering one of the best avenues to correct the imbalance. How do you succeed when the table is tilted against you? Find the weak points in the table and exploit them until the table is level.

Read More
Bryan Williams
Chasing The Tail Versus Riding The Walrus

by Bryan

“Buy Low, Sell High.” It’s essentially the slogan of the market at this point and is the first thing investors point to when uncertainty creeps in. However, the concept of BLSH can also apply to information about the market as well, and if you’re hearing about something through the general public, chances are it’s too late to act upon it. The way to beat this is boring and unsexy, but is ultimately superior.

Read More
Bryan Williams
COVES: Six Months In

by Bryan

After a half-year of tracking its performance via daily updates on Twitter, how is COVES faring? What works? What doesn’t? What mistakes were made? And, most importantly, does COVES deserve to be one of the first smart token investment strategies?

Read More
Bryan Williams
When CAPE Fails

by Bryan

The Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings (CAPE) ratio is a Nobel Prize-winning reflection of long-term over- and under-valuation of a market and its effect on future returns that is applicable to a wide swath of country equity markets. While it is robust and valuable, it fails when applied to regimes where CAPE is being held at its level by outside forces such as war, sanctions, and other applied artificial barriers to market movement.

Read More
Bryan Williams
Fixing Retail Investing, Part III: The Bridge

by Bryan

Our third post in an ongoing series, we talk about how the currently-underfoot “here” and the observable “there” can be easily linked in a visual and theoretical sense, but that an actual tenable pathway between the two sides takes time, work, and the right plan to make it possible.

Read More
Bryan Williams
COVES: The Paper, The Proposal, and An Example

by Bryan

To celebrate our latest SSRN paper, we’ve put together a trident of content around our Country-Oriented Volatility-Enhanced Strategies (COVES). The first prong is the SSRN paper itself, the second prong represents a DeFi synth token proposal, and the third and final prong shows a quick application of the COVES template to Haiti, a country that could use a high-return domestic investment vehicle but lacks the foundation (and stock market) to provide it directly. Did I purposely go for a nautically-themed connection between COVES and this trident? NO. THIS INTRO IS OVER.

Read More
Bryan Williams